In addition to a tiebreak edge over Anand due to head to head score, Caruana also has 2 games with white in the final 3 rounds while Anand has 2 black games. On the other hand, Karjakin, who is only 1/2 point behind, has white against Caruana in the final round. Even though there are still several players who are mathematically alive, only 3, Caruana, Anand, and Karjakin have serious chances to win the 2016 Candidates Tournament.
Standings after 11 rounds
1. | Caruana, Fabiano | gm | USA | 2794 | * | * | ½ | 1 | ½ | . | ½ | ½ | ½ | . | ½ | . | ½ | 1 | ½ | ½ | 6½ | |
2. | Anand, Vishy | gm | IND | 2762 | ½ | 0 | * | * | 0 | 1 | ½ | . | 1 | . | ½ | 1 | ½ | . | 1 | ½ | 6½ | |
3. | Karjakin, Sergey | gm | RUS | 2760 | ½ | . | 1 | 0 | * | * | ½ | ½ | ½ | ½ | ½ | . | 1 | ½ | ½ | . | 6 | |
4. | Giri, Anish | gm | NED | 2793 | ½ | ½ | ½ | . | ½ | ½ | * | * | ½ | . | ½ | ½ | ½ | ½ | ½ | . | 5½ | |
5. | Svidler, Peter | gm | RUS | 2757 | ½ | . | 0 | . | ½ | ½ | ½ | . | * | * | ½ | 1 | ½ | ½ | ½ | ½ | 5½ | |
6. | Aronian, Levon | gm | ARM | 2786 | ½ | . | ½ | 0 | ½ | . | ½ | ½ | ½ | 0 | * | * | 1 | . | 1 | ½ | 5½ | |
7. | Nakamura, Hikaru | gm | USA | 2790 | ½ | 0 | ½ | . | 0 | ½ | ½ | ½ | ½ | ½ | 0 | . | * | * | 1 | . | 4½ | |
8. | Topalov, Veselin | gm | BUL | 2780 | ½ | ½ | 0 | ½ | ½ | . | ½ | . | ½ | ½ | 0 | ½ | 0 | . | * | * | 4 |
Pairings for final 3 rounds
Round 12 (March 25, 2016)
Svidler – Giri
Nakamura – Anand
Karjakin – Topalov
Caruana – Aronian
Round 13 (March 27, 2016)
Caruana – Svidler
Aronian – Karjakin
Topalov – Nakamura
Anand – Giri
Round 14 (March 28, 2016)
Svidler – Anand
Giri – Topalov
Nakamura – Aronian
Karjakin – Caruana