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Definitely Nakamura – Carlsen. Nakamura has Carlsen’s number.
Caruana and Aronian, appear right now to be the top rivarlies for Carlsen in the next five years. However, only time will tell for sure.
Carlsen, Aronian, and possibly the others (incl. Radjabov).
Susan, would you like something a little more fun and engaging by way of a poll — see comparapoll.com. It’s still pre-alpha. Will be adding the necessary features for posting on blogs.
FIDE crushes USCF
Carlsen’s number is 2850. Naka’s is 2750. That’s a mighty big gap.
Nakamura v. Nakamura
Not my comment, but too good (and true) not to pass on
Maybe Carlsen can rival Nakamura if Nak spots Carlsen a piece. Then it’s an equal playing level.
Over-rating Naka will not make him better than he actually is. He is simply not in Carlsen’s class. Nobody is. Aronian, Caruana, and Kramnik may provide some competition from time to time, and Naka is not even in that league. But he’s certainly stronger than Hou Yifan. 😉